35 stories about Prediction Markets from across the crypto press, curated and summarized daily. Most recent: Jul 26, 2026.
The U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) has issued a stern warning to prediction market platforms, cautioning them against using generic self-certification templates. This advisory comes amid concerns that firms are cutting corners in their compliance efforts.
Robinhood is in talks to let users trade yes-or-no contracts through Crypto.com's derivatives business, though no deal has been reached yet. The move comes as Robinhood competes with Kalshi in the prediction market space.
Hyperliquid is introducing permissionless prediction markets, first on testnet and later on mainnet, as part of the HIP-4 upgrade.
A new Stanford study found that Polymarket's 5-minute Bitcoin prediction markets can be manipulated around settlement times. Researchers suggest longer settlement windows could help prevent this issue.
North Carolina's new budget law defers oversight of prediction markets Kalshi and Polymarket to the CFTC, taxing them at just 6%. This move sets a lower tax rate compared to other states' proposals.
Polymarket has applied to offer margin trading to U.S. customers, following a similar approval granted to Kalshi in March. This could expand trading options but also introduces higher risks for users.
Rising interest in Solana-network memecoins and prediction markets was followed by a rally in SOL price. Will the momentum continue?
U.S.-linked wallets traded $571 million on Polymarket’s political prediction markets over the past year, despite the platform being legally barred from serving them. The bets focused on foreign conflicts not available on U.S. platforms.
The European Securities and Markets Authority (ESMA) has warned that many prediction market contracts could already be prohibited for retail investors under EU financial rules. The regulator is cracking down on companies that market binary-style products as event contracts to avoid derivative regulations.
The European Union is moving to block retail investors from participating in prediction markets, citing concerns over their classification as derivatives. Regulators emphasize that the function of these products, not their labels, determines compliance with financial regulations.
A bipartisan group of senators is calling for a CFTC investigation into Polymarket following reports that the platform paid creators to stage fake winning bets, raising concerns about market manipulation and transparency.
Polymarket has updated its hack losses to $3.1 million. The platform is also facing investigations over potential false or deceptive marketing practices. Users are awaiting promised refunds.
Senators John Curtis and Adam Schiff have raised concerns about Polymarket's advertising, calling it deceptive and urging the CFTC to investigate, highlighting a 'troubling' report and potential enforcement gaps.
A group of 17 Democratic senators has criticized the CFTC for suing state regulators over prediction markets, calling it an “assault” on state oversight. The senators argue that states should have the authority to regulate these markets within their jurisdictions.
A new bill aims to prevent lawmakers and their families from trading on prediction markets using insider knowledge. This move targets potential conflicts of interest in policy-related betting.
A new bill aims to ban insider trading in prediction markets but notably does not include White House officials or specifically bar Congress members from using the platforms. It targets policy wagers, not sports betting.
Prediction market platform Kalshi is considering an IPO for 2027 or 2028 after its annualized revenue surpassed $2 billion.
Charles Schwab is launching event-based options tied to the S&P 500, allowing customers to bet on index moves. This move comes as Coinbase and Robinhood also expand their offerings in the prediction markets sector.
Kentucky is moving to regulate prediction markets, putting it at odds with Donald Trump's stance that states should avoid firms like Kalshi and Polymarket. This clash highlights growing tensions between state-level innovation and federal policy in crypto-related markets.
The CFTC proposed new rules for burgeoning prediction markets that delineate what bets would be allowed under federal law.
Quantitative trading firms are hiring aggressively for prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi, not to bet on outcomes but to exploit market inefficiencies. This shift signals growing interest in these platforms beyond niche betting.
Rep. Bryan Steil plans to add prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi to a congressional stock ban bill. This move could impact how lawmakers participate in crypto-based betting platforms.
Galaxy Digital has entered the institutional prediction markets with a $10 million trade tied to U.S. crypto legislation. This marks the first major move by a digital asset firm to offer over-the-counter (OTC) prediction markets for institutional investors.
Wintermute is providing liquidity on the two biggest prediction markets—Kalshi and Polymarket—linking flows for both firms, according to a source familiar with the matter. The move aims to improve trading efficiency and liquidity for users on both platforms. The exact terms of the arrangement were not disclosed.